Will U.S. after-tax corporate profits exceed a $4.0 trillion annual rate in Q2 2026?
Event Details
BEA publishes its first Q2 profit estimate on August 26; the Q1 annual rate was about $3.951 trillion, so the threshold requires roughly 1.25% growth.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%
Resolution Rules
Use the first Q2 2026 figure published by BEA with its August 26 'GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits' release. Resolve Yes if after-tax corporate profits without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments are strictly above $4,000.0 billion at a seasonally adjusted annual rate; $4,000.0 billion or lower is No. Later revisions do not count. If BEA delays the release, wait for the first official publication.