Will the Fed cut rates by at least 50 basis points at its September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 50 basis points at its September 2026 meeting?

Event Details

The source market has about $4.46 million cumulative and $416,000 daily volume, with a price near 0.45%; the site applies its 8% floor.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0.3%
  • No 99.8%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls 50 basis points or more in the September statement; a smaller cut, hold or hike is No.

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