Will U.S. core PCE inflation be at least 3.3% year over year in July 2026?
Event Details
BEA releases July data on August 26; June core PCE inflation was 3.3% year over year.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%
Resolution Rules
Use BEA's first published July 2026 year-over-year PCE price index excluding food and energy: 3.3% or higher is Yes; 3.2% or lower is No. Later revisions do not change settlement.
Market discussion
- 风险提示: 如果结算来源不够权威，就算新闻很多，也不应该急着下结论。
- 市场观察: 我倾向先看规则，再看价格；价格只是市场观点，不是结算依据。