Will U.S. CPI inflation be at least 3.2% year over year in August 2026?

Will U.S. CPI inflation be at least 3.2% year over year in August 2026?

Event Details

BLS releases August CPI on September 11; headline inflation was 3.4% in July after 3.5% in June.

Information source

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Outcomes

  • Yes 67%
  • No 33%

Resolution Rules

Use BLS's first published 12-month unadjusted CPI-U change for August 2026. At least 3.2% is Yes; 3.1% or lower is No; revisions do not count.

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