Will the Fed raise rates by at least 50 basis points at its September 2026 meeting?
Event Details
The source market has about $4.55 million cumulative and $712,000 daily volume, with a price near 0.45%; this site applies its 8% floor.
- Status: open
- Volume: 6.22M
- Liquidity: 1.34M
- Best bid: 0.3%
- Best ask: 0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes 0.4%
- No 99.7%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the upper bound of the target federal funds range rises by 50 basis points or more in the September FOMC statement; a smaller hike, no change or cut is No.