Will U.S. final-demand PPI inflation be at least 5.2% year over year in July 2026?
Event Details
BLS releases the figure August 13; June final-demand PPI was 5.5% year over year, below prior consensus.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%
Resolution Rules
Use the unadjusted 12-month final-demand PPI change in BLS's July 2026 release. A reported 5.2% or higher is Yes.
Market discussion
- 新闻追踪: 当前 $78K 的成交量已经能说明市场有分歧，不是纯展示型话题。
- 反方视角: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。
- 反方视角: 从概率看，多数人暂时站在“否”一边，但这不代表结果已经锁定。