Will the Federal Reserve raise rates at least once in 2026?

Will the Federal Reserve raise rates at least once in 2026?

Event Details

The market tracks the target federal-funds range upper bound from the start of 2026 through the December meeting.

Outcomes

  • Yes 49.5%
  • No 50.5%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the target-range upper bound rises above its January 1, 2026 level after any decision through the December 8-9 meeting; otherwise No, using official Fed decisions.

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