Will NASA's EXCITE scientific balloon launch from Antarctica by December 31, 2026?
Event Details
NASA lists EXCITE in the December 2026-January 2027 Antarctic balloon campaign.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%
Resolution Rules
Yes if NASA or CSBF flight records show the EXCITE payload leaves the ground into free flight by 23:59 UTC December 31; tether tests, aborted inflation or mere arrival do not count.
Market discussion
- 市场观察: 这个题值得看，因为结算条件比较具体，SEO 页面也应该保留完整规则。
- 概率笔记: 我会关注最后 48 小时的公开消息，很多事件是在截止前才突然出现明确信号。
- 临近截止观察: 如果只看当前价格，市场偏向“否”；但时间还比较长，最好持续跟踪核心变量，短线波动可能还会比较大。