Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 12 named storms?
Event Details
NOAA forecasts 8–14 named storms and a 55% chance of a below-normal season; the season ends November 30.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%
Resolution Rules
Use NOAA/NHC's final 2026 North Atlantic summary. At least 12 systems reaching tropical-storm strength and receiving a name is Yes; 11 or fewer is No. Unnamed depressions and systems named only in other basins do not count.
Market discussion
- 新闻追踪: 我会关注最后 48 小时的公开消息，很多事件是在截止前才突然出现明确信号。
- 反方视角: 这个市场目前更像是在等一条硬消息，传闻和评论都不够用于结算。
- 规则笔记: 我倾向先看规则，再看价格；价格只是市场观点，不是结算依据。