Will the Fed raise rates by 25 basis points after its September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed raise rates by 25 basis points after its September 2026 meeting?

Event Details

The market compares the upper bound of the federal-funds target range before and after the September 15–16 FOMC meeting.

Outcomes

  • Yes 27.5%
  • No 72.5%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if the September FOMC statement raises the upper bound and the original rounding rule places the change in the +25-basis-point bracket; otherwise No. The Federal Reserve statement controls.

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