Will the US Impose New Sanctions on Iran?

Will the US Impose New Sanctions on Iran?

Event Details

Predict whether the US will impose new sanctions including tariffs on Iran by the end of 2026.

Information source

CNBC

Outcomes

  • Yes 60%
  • No 40%

Resolution Rules

If by December 31, 2026, the US imposes new sanctions including tariffs on Iran (via legislation or executive action), the outcome is Yes.

Market discussion

  • 反方视角: 如果临近截止前还没有明确材料,市场可能会主动降温;如果出现确认文件,方向会更清楚。
  • 反方视角: 同类事件以前经常因为口径不同产生分歧,所以这里要盯住结算规则里的关键词。

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