Will the UN General Assembly adopt a pandemic-preparedness political declaration on September 25?
Event Details
The UN has scheduled the September 25 high-level meeting, with Armenia and Rwanda facilitating declaration negotiations.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the General Assembly formally adopts the 2026 PPPR high-level meeting political declaration by the end of September 25 New York time. A draft only or later adoption is No.
Market discussion
- 事件研究: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。
- 概率笔记: 短期价格如果变化很快，未必是结论变化，也可能只是信息热度变化。
- 全球事件观察: 这个问题最好每天看一次新证据，不需要被每次小波动带着走。