Will Strait of Hormuz ship traffic return to normal by August 31, 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz ship traffic return to normal by August 31, 2026?

Event Details

Settlement requires IMF PortWatch's seven-day moving average of ship arrivals to reach 60.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0.6%
  • No 99.5%

Resolution Rules

Yes if IMF PortWatch publishes a seven-day moving average of Strait arrivals at or above 60 for any date through August 31; otherwise No. Original revision and 14-day delay rules apply.

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