Will James Talarico win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election?
Event Details
Early November 3 matchup polling is close, while Texas's historical baseline still favors Republicans.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 51%
- No 49%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the Texas Secretary of State's certified final result lists Talarico as the 2026 U.S. Senate winner; use the final certification after any recount.
Market discussion
- 概率笔记: 我倾向先看规则，再看价格；价格只是市场观点，不是结算依据。
- 临近截止观察: 当前成交量 $90K 配合 48% 概率，说明它已经进入可持续观察范围。