Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Event Details
Only Gavin Newsom winning and accepting the Democratic Party's 2028 presidential nomination resolves Yes.
- Status: open
- Volume: 26.84M
- Liquidity: 349.72K
- Best bid: 15.1%
- Best ask: 15.4%
Outcomes
- Yes 15.3%
- No 84.8%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the Democratic Party's 2028 nomination for U.S. president; otherwise No. Official Democratic Party sources control.
Market discussion
- 风险提示: 这个题的反面也有逻辑：只要关键动作没有完成，“否”的价格就仍然有支撑。
- 事件研究: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。