Will the next United Nations Secretary-General be a woman?
Event Details
António Guterres' term ends December 31; the Security Council recommends one candidate and the General Assembly formally appoints that person.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 73%
- No 27%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if the tenth Secretary-General formally appointed by the General Assembly is identified as a woman in official UN materials; otherwise No. If no appointment occurs in 2026, wait for the first formal appointment.
Market discussion
- 概率笔记: 这个市场目前更像是在等一条硬消息，传闻和评论都不够用于结算。
- 新闻追踪: 同类事件以前经常因为口径不同产生分歧，所以这里要盯住结算规则里的关键词。
- 事件研究: 如果结算来源不够权威，就算新闻很多，也不应该急着下结论。