Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire continue through August 31, 2026?
Event Details
The market asks whether both sides avoid a qualifying cross-border air or surface-to-surface strike through August 31, 11:59 PM Iran time.
- Status: open
- Volume: 2.35M
- Liquidity: 123.61K
- Best bid: 95%
- Best ask: 96%
Outcomes
- Yes 95.5%
- No 4.5%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if neither state launches a qualifying air strike or surface-to-surface missile/one-way-drone strike that directly impacts the other's terrestrial territory through August 31, 11:59 PM IRST; otherwise No. Preserve the original market rules.