Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House after the 2026 midterms?
Event Details
All voting House seats are contested on November 3; Cook currently rates 205 seats Democratic, 212 Republican and leaves 18 outside either party's advantage column.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Republican voting members elected to the 120th House outnumber every other party and can organize the majority; otherwise No. State certifications and House Clerk records control.
Market discussion
- 风险提示: 当前成交量 $51K 配合 21% 概率，说明它已经进入可持续观察范围。
- 事件研究: 我倾向先看规则，再看价格；价格只是市场观点，不是结算依据。