Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31, 2026?
Event Details
The market requires a formal Hamas announcement of disarmament in the Gaza Strip.
- Status: open
- Volume: 1.51M
- Liquidity: 55.82K
- Best bid: 26%
- Best ask: 27%
Outcomes
- Yes 26.5%
- No 73.5%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Hamas's widely acknowledged leadership formally announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that it will relinquish or dismantle all or part of its military in Gaza. Informal, contingent, or non-policy statements do not qualify. Use official Hamas statements or broad credible-reporting consensus.