Will Brazil's 2026 presidential election go to a runoff?
Event Details
Brazil votes on October 4; a runoff follows on October 25 if nobody wins an absolute majority of valid votes.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Brazil's TSE announces or confirms that the 2026 presidential election proceeds to the October 25 runoff; resolve No if a president is elected in round one. TSE results and notices control.
Market discussion
- 风险提示: 如果临近截止前还没有明确材料，市场可能会主动降温；如果出现确认文件，方向会更清楚。
- 临近截止观察: 这个题适合分两层看：事实是否发生，以及结算规则是否允许按这个事实判定。
- 临近截止观察: 我会优先看原始公告，其次才看媒体转载。转载标题有时会把条件写得太满。