Will Iran experience a total internet blackout by August 31, 2026?

Will Iran experience a total internet blackout by August 31, 2026?

Event Details

The active market is near 8.5%; resolution requires Cloudflare Radar traffic at 1% or less of the four-week maximum for six consecutive hourly points.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3.5%
  • No 96.6%

Resolution Rules

Yes if, by August 31 at 23:59 UTC, Cloudflare Radar's Iran total-bytes series has at least six consecutive hourly points at no more than 1.0% of the four-week maximum; otherwise No.

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