Will BepiColombo enter orbit around Mercury by November 30, 2026?
Event Details
ESA says the electric-propulsion cruise phase is complete and the mission is preparing for a November Mercury arrival.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%
Resolution Rules
Yes if ESA confirms BepiColombo completed Mercury orbit insertion and was captured into Mercury orbit by the deadline; approach, module separation or flyby alone do not count.
Market discussion
- 风险提示: 当前 $88K 的成交量已经能说明市场有分歧，不是纯展示型话题。
- 临近截止观察: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。
- 概率笔记: 如果官方说法只停留在计划、考虑、预计，那还不能等同于已经满足条件。