Will NASA's SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026?
Event Details
NASA lists Crew-13 for no earlier than mid-September, carrying four crew members to the International Space Station.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 74%
- No 26%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if NASA records the crewed Crew-13 Dragon lifting off by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Beijing time; rollout or static fire alone does not count.
Market discussion
- 规则笔记: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。
- 市场观察: 短期价格如果变化很快，未必是结论变化，也可能只是信息热度变化。
- 新闻追踪: 还有观察时间，短期消息需要过滤噪音，所以短期内价格变化不一定代表最终结果，只代表信息流变化。