Will NASA's Artemis III demonstration mission launch by the end of 2027?
Event Details
NASA plans a 2027 Artemis III low-Earth-orbit rendezvous and docking demonstration, targeting a mid-2027 launch.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 66%
- No 34%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if the crewed SLS/Orion for Artemis III lifts off and enters sustained ascent by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM Beijing time; otherwise No. NASA mission status controls.
Market discussion
- 临近截止观察: 当前 $84K 的成交量已经能说明市场有分歧，不是纯展示型话题。
- 事件研究: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。
- 市场观察: 如果结果需要多个条件同时满足，任意一个条件缺失都会影响最终判断。