Will at least one 2026 Nobel Physics laureate be a woman?

Will at least one 2026 Nobel Physics laureate be a woman?

Event Details

The 2026 Physics Prize is scheduled for October 6; only five women won the prize from 1901 through 2025.

Information source

Nobel Prize

Outcomes

  • Yes 24%
  • No 76%

Resolution Rules

Resolve Yes if at least one person in the official 2026 Nobel Physics laureate announcement is identified as a woman in Nobel's official materials; otherwise No.

Market discussion

  • 新闻追踪: 同类事件以前经常因为口径不同产生分歧,所以这里要盯住结算规则里的关键词。
  • 临近截止观察: 如果临近截止前还没有明确材料,市场可能会主动降温;如果出现确认文件,方向会更清楚。

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