Will the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize be awarded to at least one organization?
Event Details
The 2026 Peace Prize is announced October 9; 79 of the 287 registered candidates are organizations.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 69%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if the official 2026 Peace Prize announcement includes at least one organization, institution or group, alone or jointly with people. Individual-only or no award resolves No.
Market discussion
- 事件研究: 成交量到 $37K 后，说明这个题已经有人关注；下一步要看是否有新的官方来源。
- 新闻追踪: 我会优先看原始公告，其次才看媒体转载。转载标题有时会把条件写得太满。
- 概率笔记: 如果最后结果接近边界，结算时应该按规则文本处理，而不是按情绪判断。