Will a woman author win the 2026 Booker Prize?
Event Details
The 13-book longlist is out; six make the September 22 shortlist and the winner is announced November 9.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 46%
- No 54%
Resolution Rules
Use the Booker Prize Foundation's official November 9 winner announcement: a publicly identified woman winner is Yes; otherwise No. If shared, at least one woman makes it Yes.
Market discussion
- 市场观察: 如果出现相反证据，当前 44% 的概率也可能快速回落。
- 数据视角: 我会关注是否有明确时间点，很多预测题输赢就在日期细节上。